Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Obama's Early Voting Lead

Open Left reports:
...In every state where they have such crosstabs, Obama is ahead by shocking margins. First, Georgia:
Early and absentee voting began in Georgia on 09/22/08. Among the 18% of Georgia voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, Obama leads by 6 points; among those who have not yet voted, McCain leads by 11.

With 18% of the vote in, this crosstab is effectively an "exit poll" showing that Obama is literally winning in Georgia right now. Similarly surprising pro-Obama margins can be seen in several other states, like Iowa:

Among the 14% of Iowa voters who say they have already cast their ballot, Obama leads by a 2:1 margin.

And New Mexico:

Among the 10% of New Mexico voters who say they have already voted, Obama leads by 23 points.

And North Carolina:

Obama has a slight advantage among those who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted. North Carolina has 15 Electoral College votes

And Ohio:

Of the 12% of respondents who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, Obama leads by 18.

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